Why do some cities prosper and others face population decline and decline?
- Employment factor: Employment is a key factor in the prosperity or decline of cities. Cities with more job opportunities attract more population and traffic, while cities with fewer opportunities see population decline.
When does a city become attractive?
- Employment, facilities, housing: the attractiveness of a city depends on employment, available facilities and its housing market. Economic recession and decrease in employment leads to a decrease in population density and housing prices, while employment boom leads to an increase in population and housing prices.
Economic recession and decrease in employment leads to a decrease in population density and housing prices, while employment boom leads to an increase in population and housing prices.
Step 1: Research and data collection
- Data collection: detailed analysis of migration trends and employment indicators from reliable sources.
- Analysis of strengths and weaknesses: identifying opportunities and challenges in the housing market based on employment status and migration flow.
Step 2: Accurate assessment of the housing market
- Price Analysis: Review charts and statistics of purchase and rental prices to understand current trends and predict the future of the market.
- Field visit: visiting different properties and talking with real estate consultants to get more in-depth information.
Step 3: Strategic decision making
- Using forecasting models: creating simple models to analyze demand and supply in the housing market based on collected data.
- Assessing risks: analyzing the risks in situations where immigration and employment are low.
Step 4: Implementation of the decision
- Determining when to buy or wait: making decisions based on analysis and research.
Key solutions:
- Use of advanced analytical tools: Applying analytical software and platforms to accurately examine the housing market.
- Constantly updating knowledge: following the latest market developments and updating information.
- Consulting with market experts: Working with economists and housing market consultants to better understand the market.
Demographic and economic changes in the past decades:
- Migration to big cities: The reports of the Iranian Parliament Research Center show that in the past, there has been a large-scale migration from border areas to big cities like Tehran.
- Challenges caused by immigration: This immigration flow has caused demographic, economic and even security challenges. Immigrants have been driven to the suburbs by high living costs, which has led to increased social problems.
Age and gender composition of immigrants:
- Young people and women: Most immigrants are in the age group of 15 to 34 years, and the share of women among immigrants has also increased.
تاثیرات اقتصادی مهاجرت:
- Demographic changes and disruption in the labor market: Migration has changed the composition of the population and has led to disruption in the labor market and informal economic activities.
Transfer statistics:
- Movement of four million people: Between 1375 and 1390, about four million people have moved in Iran, mostly in provinces such as Tehran, Razavi Khorasan, Gilan and Mazandaran, while provinces such as Kermanshah and Lorestan have faced population decline.
Experts warning:
- Social and economic problems: experts like Mahmoud Mushfiq of
Allameh Tabatabai University warns that mass migration can lead to social and economic problems, especially in areas near Tehran and Karaj.
Need for comprehensive planning:
- Paying attention to geographical, economic and social issues: in order to face these challenges, it is necessary to make detailed planning in different fields to provide demographic balance and economic stability.
Current situation and today’s challenges:
- Recent economic and demographic changes: In recent years, economic and demographic changes have created new challenges for professionals in the fields of property management, investment and construction engineering.
- Decrease in oil revenues: Decrease in oil revenues and changing economic conditions have changed the conditions and caused people to look for living in smaller cities and suburbs of big cities.
- Impact on investment and project management: These changes are important for investors and construction project managers.
Necessity of research and intelligent planning:
- Accurate market research: conducting market research and examining demographic and economic factors is necessary to predict future demographic behaviors.
- Diversified and smart investment: Investing in smaller cities and suburbs may have higher returns, but the need for comprehensive and multidimensional analysis is critical for investing in big cities as well.
Conclusion:
- New, data-driven strategies: In response to complex demographic and economic changes, new, data-driven strategies are essential for professionals in the fields of property management, investment, and construction engineering.
